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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Nov 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
BL

Hellas Verona
3 - 1
Benevento

Barak (17', 63'), Lazovic (77')
Barak (29'), Lovato (44'), Zaccagni (65'), Lazovic (76'), Magnani (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lapadula (56')
Caldirola (25'), Schiattarella (43'), Inzaghi (49'), Glik (55'), Ionita (71')
Caprari (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBenevento
39.64%25.01%35.35%
Both teams to score 57.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16%45.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84%68.16%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24%56.75%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73%25.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97%60.03%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.64%
    Benevento 35.35%
    Draw 25.01%
Hellas VeronaDrawBenevento
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.64%
1-1 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.35%


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