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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
JL

Spezia
2 - 3
Juventus

Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), de Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawJuventus
17.12%21.04%61.84%
Both teams to score 52.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37%43.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98%66.02%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12%38.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39%75.61%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43%13.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33%40.67%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.12%
    Juventus 61.83%
    Draw 21.04%
SpeziaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 4.98%
2-1 @ 4.7%
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.12%
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 5.27%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 10.53%
0-2 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.13%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-5 @ 1.4%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3%
Total : 61.83%

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