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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
JL

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Politano (57'), Koulibaly (85')
Elmas (31'), Lozano (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (10')
Locatelli (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Napoli win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
34.42%24.99%40.59%
Both teams to score 57.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12%45.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81%68.19%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18%25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21%60.78%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48%22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91%56.09%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 34.42%
    Juventus 40.59%
    Draw 24.98%
NapoliDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 7.95%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.59%

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