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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
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Udinese
2 - 3
Atalanta

Lasagna (31', 87')
Becao (69'), Zeegelaar (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapata (9'), Muriel (71', 79')
Malinovskiy (40'), Caldara (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
18.35%19.45%62.2%
Both teams to score 61.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02%33.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16%55.85%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31%31.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89%68.11%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47%10.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.76%34.24%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 18.35%
    Atalanta BC 62.2%
    Draw 19.45%
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.96%
1-0 @ 3.84%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-1 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 18.35%
1-1 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 3.34%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 7.29%
0-3 @ 6.34%
2-3 @ 4.19%
1-4 @ 4.1%
0-4 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 2.36%
1-5 @ 1.85%
0-5 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.06%
3-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 62.2%


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