We said: Venezia 2-1 Empoli
Not long before the mid-season break, Empoli would have been favourites for this battle of promoted clubs, but Venezia can now take advantage of their visitors' loss of momentum to snatch a precious three points.
Neither side has proved themselves capable defensively, so expect goals at either end in this encounter, played out at one of Calcio's most iconic venues.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.