Though virus-stricken Milan may be undermanned in certain areas - particularly defence - their hosts have conceded goals at a rate of nearly two per game on home soil this season, so are vulnerable to the Rossoneri's rapid counter-attacks.
Another Venezia defeat will leave them teetering above the drop zone, while Pioli and company are set to stride on in pursuit of that elusive 19th Scudetto.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
