Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
