Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
