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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
RL

Cagliari
1 - 2
Roma

Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawRoma
26.58%22.77%50.65%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41%39.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06%61.93%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62%63.38%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02%44.98%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 26.58%
    Roma 50.65%
    Draw 22.76%
CagliariDrawRoma
2-1 @ 6.64%
1-0 @ 5.63%
2-0 @ 3.6%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 5.88%
0-3 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 3.77%
1-4 @ 2.71%
0-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.74%
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.65%

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