Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Alessandria win it was 1-0 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
