Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Alessandria.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.