Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
