Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
