Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
