Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
