SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Alessandria |
| 57.94% | 23.64% | 18.43% |
| Both teams to score 47.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% | 52.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% | 17.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.39% | 48.61% |
| Alessandria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.13% | 78.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | Alessandria |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.54% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.43% |
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