Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
