Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.
