Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diakite (86')
Labojko (55'), Lucchesi (71'),
Raimondo (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result |
| Bari | Draw | Ternana |
46.31% ( -1.09) | 26.32% ( 0.09) | 27.37% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.47) |
| 45.73% ( 0.25) | 54.26% ( -0.25) |
| 24.34% ( 0.21) | 75.66% ( -0.21) |
| 76.6% ( -0.39) | 23.4% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.58) | 57.38% ( 0.58) |
| 65.07% ( 0.95) | 34.92% ( -0.95) |
