Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
