Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ascoli in this match.
