Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
