Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
