Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
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