Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Palermo
40% ( 0.06)	27.27% ( 0.08)	32.72% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.16% (

-0.34)

55.84% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04% (

-0.28)

76.96% (

0.28)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.13)

27.32% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

-0.17)

62.77% (

0.16)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.21% (

-0.27)

31.79% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.78% (

-0.31)

68.22% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 40%

Palermo 32.72%

Draw 27.27%

Sudtirol	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.72%