Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.