SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Pisa |
| 43.63% | 26.98% | 29.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% | 76.91% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% | 25.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.83% | 60.17% |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% | 34.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.15% | 70.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.39% |
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