Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
