Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
