Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
