Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.