Como
4 - 1
Perugia

La Gumina (6'), Cerri (14' pen.), Bellemo (17'), Solini (27')
Parigini (40'), Vignali (49'), Kabashi (88')

FT(HT: 4-0)

De Luca (47')
Dell'Orco (13'), Burrai (20'), Rosi (24'), Curado (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Perugia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Perugia
37.1%	29.08%	33.81%

Both teams to score 44.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82%

62.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13%

81.87%

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84%

32.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36%

68.64%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Como 37.1%

Perugia 33.81%

Draw 29.08%

Como	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.81%