Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 43.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 27.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
