Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
