Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
