SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cremonese |
| 36.42% | 26.93% | 36.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% | 75.52% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% | 28.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.65% | 64.35% |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| SPAL | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.65% |
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