Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
