Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
