Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.27) 
