Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.