Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.27) 
