Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 35.52%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Reggiana
35.52% ( 0.1)	29.99% ( -0.15)	34.49% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.92% (

0.45)

65.08% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.05% (

0.31)

83.95% (

-0.31)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

0.31)

34.72% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

0.32)

71.45% (

-0.32)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58% (

0.28)

35.42% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81% (

0.29)

72.19% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 35.52%

Reggiana 34.49%

Draw 29.99%

Sudtirol	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.52%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.99%	0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 34.49%