Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.