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Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Matusa
SL

Frosinone
4 - 0
SPAL

Zerbin (33', 38'), Gatti (45+1', 71')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Dickmann (11'), Heidenreich (52')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Frosinone and SPAL.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawSPAL
47.69%27.29%25.01%
Both teams to score 45.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78%59.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36%79.64%
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08%24.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46%59.54%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34%39.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66%76.34%
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 47.69%
    SPAL 25.02%
    Draw 27.29%
FrosinoneDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.69%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.02%

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