Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
