While the chances of an entertaining encounter are high, the probability of Benevento springing a surprise on their high-flying hosts is less so.
Fiorentina boast a buoyant squad, with several fringe players ready to step in and impress, so should take the direct route through to the next round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
