Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
