Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
