Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Mantova
47.11% ( -0.75)	25.88% ( -0.13)	27.01% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 50.91% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

1.07)

52.76% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

0.91)

74.39% (

-0.91)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

0.11)

22.39% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

0.17)

55.89% (

-0.18)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59% (

1.3)

34.4% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89% (

1.36)

71.11% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 47.1%

Mantova 27.01%

Draw 25.88%

Sampdoria	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.01%