Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Palermo | Draw | Cesena |
39.67% ( -0.2) | 26.25% ( -0) | 34.07% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( 0.04) | 51.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( 0.03) | 73.3% ( -0.04) |
Palermo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.09) | 25.49% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% ( -0.12) | 60.33% ( 0.11) |
Cesena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( 0.14) | 28.73% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( 0.18) | 64.57% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Palermo | Draw | Cesena |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.66% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: