Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.03) 
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