SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cesena |
41.09% ( -0.1) | 26.22% ( -0.02) | 32.69% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0.1) | 51.65% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( 0.09) | 73.43% ( -0.09) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.01) | 24.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.01) | 59.4% ( 0.01) |
| Cesena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( 0.13) | 29.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( 0.15) | 65.76% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cesena |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.69% |
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