SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Palermo |
39.04% ( -0.13) | 26.76% ( -0.04) | 34.19% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.43% ( 0.19) | 53.57% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.92% ( 0.16) | 75.08% ( -0.16) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.02) | 26.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.02) | 62.08% ( -0.02) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 0.2) | 29.68% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 0.25) | 65.73% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.19% |
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